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Guardians Vs Reds: MLB Betting Odds & Trends – 4/12/2022

The Cleveland Guardians (1-2) and Cincinnati Reds (2-2) square off on Tuesday to begin a two-game series, with the first pitch at 4:10 PM ET at Great American Ball Park. Shane Bieber starts for Cleveland (-120 to win) while Cincinnati (+100) will counter with Tyler Mahle.

The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of April 11, 2022 at 7:25 PM ET.

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Guardians vs Reds Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Bieber (CLE) Pitcher Mahle (CIN)
0 – 0 W/L 1 – 0
4.2 IP 5.0
1.93 ERA 0.00
0.643 WHIP 1.000
7.7 K/9 12.6
0 BB/9 3.6

Guardians Probable Starter Shane Bieber

  • The Guardians will look to Bieber (0-0) in his second start this season.
  • In his most recent time out on Thursday, the right-hander tossed 4 2/3 innings against the Kansas City Royals, giving up one earned run while surrendering three hits.
  • He has a 1.93 ERA and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings while opponents are batting .000 against him over his one games this season.
  • The 26-year-old’s 1.93 ERA ranks 39th, .643 WHIP ranks 17th, and 7.7 K/9 ranks 56th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of April 11, 2022 at 7:25 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Reds Stats vs Bieber

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Tommy Pham 14 .214 3 0 1 .267 .624
Joey Votto 12 .333 4 0 2 .429 .929
Nick Senzel 5 .200 1 0 0 .333 .533
Brandon Drury 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .400
Kyle Farmer 4 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jake Fraley 3 .333 1 1 2 .333 1.666
Colin Moran 3 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Tyler Naquin 3 .333 1 1 1 .500 1.833
Mike Moustakas 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Jonathan India 1 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000

Reds Probable Starter Tyler Mahle

  • The Reds’ Mahle will make his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Friday against the Atlanta Braves, throwing 5 2/3 innings and giving up no earned runs.
  • He has pitched in one games this season with an ERA of .00, a batting average against of .000 and 12.6 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The 27-year-old ranks first in ERA (.00), 31st in WHIP (1.000), and 13th in K/9 (12.6) among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of April 11, 2022 at 7:25 PM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Guardians Stats vs Mahle

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Franmil Reyes 6 .167 1 0 0 .286 .453
José Ramírez 6 .167 1 1 2 .286 .953
Austin Hedges 4 .500 2 2 3 .500 2.500
Amed Rosario 2 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Oscar Mercado 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000

Guardians Betting Trends

  • The Guardians were the moneyline favorite 64 total times last season. They finished 39-25 in those games.
  • Cleveland went 37-20 last year (winning 64.9% of its games) when it played as a moneyline favorite of -120 or shorter.
  • Based on this game’s moneyline, the Guardians have an implied win probability of 54.5%.
  • Cleveland combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 82 times last season for an 82-68-6 record against the over/under.
  • The Guardians covered 52.7% of their games last season, going 58-52-0 against the spread.

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Reds Betting Trends

  • The Reds were underdogs 58 times last season and won 24, or 41.4%, of those games.
  • Cincinnati had a record of 22-28, a 44% win rate, when they were set as an underdog of +100 or more by oddsmakers last season.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 50%.
  • Last season, Cincinnati and its opponents hit the over in 81 of their 158 games with a total.
  • The Reds were 53-62-0 against the spread in their 115 chances last season.

Guardians Players to Watch

  • Jose Ramirez totaled 36 home runs and 103 RBI last season.
  • Myles Straw hit .271 with 29 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 67 walks.
  • Amed Rosario accumulated a .409 slugging percentage and a .282 batting average last year.
  • Franmil Reyes hit .254 with 18 doubles, two triples, 30 home runs and 43 walks.

Guardians Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Myles Straw 564 .271 86 4 48 .349 .697
José Ramírez 552 .266 111 36 103 .355 .893
Amed Rosario 550 .282 77 11 57 .321 .730
Franmil Reyes 418 .254 57 30 85 .324 .846
Austin Hedges 286 .178 32 10 31 .220 .528
Bobby Bradley 245 .208 36 16 41 .294 .739
Yu Chang 237 .228 32 9 39 .267 .693
Oscar Mercado 214 .224 27 6 19 .300 .669
Owen Miller 191 .204 17 4 18 .243 .552
Andrés Giménez 188 .218 23 5 16 .282 .633

Reds Players to Watch

  • Joey Votto finished last season with 119 hits while batting .266.
  • Jonathan India finished with a slash line of .269/.376/.459 and a .835 OPS.
  • Tommy Pham ended his last campaign with 109 hits, an OBP of .340 plus a slugging percentage of .383.
  • Tyler Naquin slashed .270/.333/.477 and finished with an OPS of .810.

Reds Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jonathan India 532 .269 98 21 69 .376 .835
Kyle Farmer 483 .263 60 16 63 .316 .732
Tommy Pham 475 .229 74 15 49 .340 .723
Joey Votto 448 .266 73 36 99 .375 .937
Tyler Naquin 411 .270 52 19 70 .333 .810
Tyler Stephenson 350 .286 56 10 45 .366 .797
Colin Moran 318 .258 29 10 50 .334 .724
Jake Fraley 214 .210 27 9 36 .352 .721
Mike Moustakas 183 .208 21 6 22 .282 .654
Aristides Aquino 174 .190 25 10 23 .299 .707

Guardians vs Reds Player Props

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